Speaking of Skilling there is a hilarious you tube clip from wgn morning news a few years ago when zell bought co. and the sportscaster/comedian guy did a segment about "owning" the company. Check it out--Skilling is awesome....<br>
<br><div class="gmail_quote">On Tue, Feb 19, 2013 at 7:37 PM, <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:springkerb@aol.com" target="_blank">springkerb@aol.com</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
<font color="black" face="arial">
<div>Also, the sample size is pretty small, and pitching is notoriously unpredictable. I think we can concede that there was a year when Jeff was arguably right more often that he was wrong. That's not as good as Tom Skilling, but what the heck.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mark<br>
<br>
<br>
</div><div><div class="h5">
<div style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,helvetica">-----Original Message-----<br>
From: Jeffrey Winick <<a href="mailto:jhwinick@aol.com" target="_blank">jhwinick@aol.com</a>><br>
To: announce <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net" target="_blank">announce@usml.net</a>><br>
Sent: Tue, Feb 19, 2013 7:21 pm<br>
Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Picks and Pans<br>
<br>
<div><font color="black" face="arial">A fair point. But I think if you read the commentary, it makes it easier to determine whether the Pick/Pan was correct. For example, Verlander and Cano were picks that were identified as safe bets to put up similar if not better numbers than the prior year. Those are correct assessments since they did exactly what I predicted they'd do. Most of time I identified not only that they were a pick or a pan, but I predicted what their performance would be. My scorecard is based on a comparison of the descriptions as much as the tagline of Pick/Pan.
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Jeff<br>
<br>
<br>
<div style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,helvetica">-----Original Message-----<br>
From: Blocker, Mark B. <<a href="mailto:mblocker@Sidley.com" target="_blank">mblocker@Sidley.com</a>><br>
To: USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net" target="_blank">announce@usml.net</a>><br>
Sent: Tue, Feb 19, 2013 6:42 pm<br>
Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Picks and Pans<br>
<br>
<div>
<div></div>
<div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span>Jeff: I actually went through this exercise last year, but never published the results. The question I struggled with is how to assess whether a pick/pan was correct. For example, if you label someone as a pick, and they have stats that are good but simply in line with prior years, is that pick correct? I took pick to mean the player significantly outperformed expected stats and pan to meant the opposite. Otherwise, where is the real expertise? Thoughts?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span>In the end, I guess the beauty of being a pundit is that those terms are so loose you can declare yourself right most of the time, and maybe that, in and of itself, makes you a pundit!</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span> -- Mark B.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
<div style="BORDER-BOTTOM:medium none;BORDER-LEFT:medium none;PADDING-BOTTOM:0in;PADDING-LEFT:0in;PADDING-RIGHT:0in;BORDER-TOP:#b5c4df 1pt solid;BORDER-RIGHT:medium none;PADDING-TOP:3pt">
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>From:</span></b><span> <a href="mailto:announce-bounces@usml.net" target="_blank">announce-bounces@usml.net</a> [<a href="mailto:announce-bounces@usml.net?" target="_blank">mailto:announce-bounces@usml.net</a>] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Jeffrey Winick<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, February 19, 2013 6:36 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> <a href="mailto:announce@usml.net" target="_blank">announce@usml.net</a><br>
<b>Subject:</b> [USML Announce] Picks and Pans</span></div>
</div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"> </div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Mr. B has always threatened to go back and look at the prior year's Picks and Pans and offer an assessment about how "expert" the so-called expert really is. </span></div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Well, curiosity got the best of me and I've finally done it. Bottom line - I'm far better at assessing pitching than hitting. There were some real clunkers last year: (Crawford, Dunn, Granderson and Jeter) and (Darvish, Pineda and Santos), but there were lots of excellent ones as well: (Braun, Butler, Cabrera, Doumit) and (Dickey, Sale, Scherzer and Zimmerman).</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Of my 22 hitting Picks/Pan, I got 13 right (59%). Of my 19 pitching Picks/Pan, I got 14 right (74%).</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Here's the full list:</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Bobby Abreu PAN CORRECT</span><span></span></div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Elvis Andrus PICK - INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Erick Aybar PICK INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Brandon Belt PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Ryan Braun PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jay Bruce PICK - CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Billy Butler PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Miguel Cabrera PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Robinson Cano PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Carl Crawford PICK INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Ryan Doumit PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Adam Dunn PAN INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jacoby Ellsbury PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>David Freese PAN INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Curtis Granderson PAN INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Eric Hosmer PICK INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Derek Jeter PAN INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jesus Montero PICK INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Justin Morneau PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Martin Prado PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jayson Werth PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Matt Wieters PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Heath Bell PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Yu Darvish PAN INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>RA Dickey PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Cole Hamels PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Tommy Hanson PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Kenley Jansen PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Ubaldo Jimenez PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Mat Latos PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Matt Moore PICK - CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Bud Norris PICK INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Michael Pineda PICK INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>David Robertson PICK INCORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Chris Sale PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><b><span>Sergio Santos PICK INCORRECT</span></b><span></span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Max Scherzer PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Huston Street PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Justin Verlander PICK CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jordan Walden PAN CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jordan Zimmerman PICK - CORRECT</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></div>
</div>
<div>
<div style="MARGIN-LEFT:0.5in" class="MsoNormal"><span>Jeff</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div></div>
<div> </div>
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