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That's interesting stuff, Frank. (But, be careful, or you'll start
sounding like Winick ...)<br>
<br>
Seriously, though, there's a lot of season left. So isn't this a
suggestion that the Jays should have a good second half? And, if
so, let's hope it's behind the bat of Jose Bautista!!<br>
<br>
-Andy<br>
<br>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 7/21/2015 6:31 PM, Frank Luby wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote
cite="mid:1311068073.14901.1437517886440.JavaMail.yahoo@mail.yahoo.com"
type="cite">
<div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff;
font-family:HelveticaNeue, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial,
Lucida Grande, sans-serif;font-size:13px">
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_3070"><span>Hi Mark,</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2728"><span><br>
</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span
id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2729">If you use the adjusted
Bill James Pythagorean for,mula (used by
baseball-reference.com), the Cardinals should have a winning
percentage of .640 and have 59 wins right now. In reality
that have 58 wins, so they are performing in line with their
run differential and their very strong pitching. (Not all
run differentials are the same; the Jays' is qualitatively
much worse because they give too many runs)</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span><br>
</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span
id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_4441">The Blue Jays should be
playing .589 ball and should have 55 wins vs. their current
47. This gap is often explained by bad luck (or a horrible
bullpen), which manifests itself in a bad record in close
games. Through the end of May, the Jays were 5-15 in games
decided by one or two runs. </span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span><br>
</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span>That
may explain the discrepancy. </span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span><br>
</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr">Thoughts?</div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><br>
</div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr">Best wishes
from Area 51 (as in 51-111 in honor of the 2013 Astros and the
2015 Lubeasts)</div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><br>
</div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr">- Frank</div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><span><br>
</span></div>
<div id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_2730" dir="ltr"><a
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id="yui_3_16_0_1_1437517457732_4617"
style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Why are the
Jays terrible in close games this century?</a><br>
</div>
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are the Jays terrible in close games this
century?</span></a>
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come as no surprise to anyone who's paid much
attention to the Jays this year that they've got
an awful record in close games. With yesterday's
10th innin...</div>
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<div class="yahoo_quoted" style="display: block;">
<div style="font-family: HelveticaNeue, Helvetica Neue,
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<div style="font-family: HelveticaNeue, Helvetica Neue,
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<div dir="ltr"> <font size="2" face="Arial"> On Tuesday,
July 21, 2015 6:10 PM, Mark Blocker
<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:blockermark@gmail.com"><blockermark@gmail.com></a> wrote:<br>
</font> </div>
<br>
<br>
<div class="y_msg_container">
<div id="yiv1103241037">
<div dir="ltr">
<div class="yiv1103241037gmail_default"
style="font-size:large;">Jeff/others:</div>
<div class="yiv1103241037gmail_default"
style="font-size:large;"><br>
</div>
<div class="yiv1103241037gmail_default"
style="font-size:large;"> Just curious about the
following statistic. The Toronto Blue Jays have
outscored their opponents by 89 runs (and have
scored 80 more runs than any other team in
baseball), yet have a .500 record. For
comparison, the St. Louis Cardinals are plus 100,
but they are 24 games over .500. The Toronto stat
has to be some sort of record-setting anomaly.
How could that be?</div>
<div class="yiv1103241037gmail_default"
style="font-size:large;"><br>
</div>
<div class="yiv1103241037gmail_default"
style="font-size:large;"> -- Mark</div>
</div>
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