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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D">Bases loaded, top of the 8th, no outs, home team up by one run. Hader comes in and gets five straight Ks. Knebel induces a long fly out to the deepest part of the park for the save. Equally
important? Beauty in the eye of the beholder….<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">MARK B. BLOCKER</span></b><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><br>
<br>
<br>
<b>SIDLEY AUSTIN LLP<br>
</b>+1 312 853 6097<br>
<a href="mailto:mblocker@sidley.com" title="Click to send email to Blocker, Mark B.">mblocker@sidley.com</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif"> springkerb <springkerb@aol.com>
<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, February 12, 2019 11:01 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> USML Announcements <announce@usml.net><br>
<b>Cc:</b> Blocker, Mark B. <mblocker@sidley.com><br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in">But they're not equally important. When a team gets a save, that team always wins. When a team gets a hold, they may or may not win. They're both important, but not equally so.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:#575757">Sent via the Samsung Galaxy S®6 active, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">-------- Original message --------<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">From: "Blocker, Mark B. via Announce" <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>>
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">Date: 2/12/19 9:49 AM (GMT-06:00)
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">To: USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>>
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">Cc: "Blocker, Mark B." <<a href="mailto:mblocker@sidley.com">mblocker@sidley.com</a>>
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="color:black">Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D">Want to give this more thought, but I think I agree with John’s point that 2x saves puts too much emphasis on saves and defeats our goal of treating holds as equally
important.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D">Also, here are the options Onroto currently allows. I believe the math on option two works out the same as what some have proposed on a relative basis:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D">HOSV (Holds + Saves)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:.5in"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D">SAVES2 (Saves + Holds / 2)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">MARK B. BLOCKER</span></b><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><br>
<br>
<br>
<b>SIDLEY AUSTIN LLP<br>
</b>+1 312 853 6097<br>
<a href="mailto:mblocker@sidley.com" title="Click to send email to Blocker, Mark B.">mblocker@sidley.com</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif"> Announce <<a href="mailto:announce-bounces@usml.net">announce-bounces@usml.net</a>>
<b>On Behalf Of </b>Bill Strotman via Announce<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, February 12, 2019 9:37 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>><br>
<b>Cc:</b> Bill Strotman <<a href="mailto:bbuddhas@aol.com">bbuddhas@aol.com</a>><br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"> <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in">Who cares what’s most realistic. It’s fantasy sports <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-top-alt:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:12.0pt;margin-left:1.0in">
We give same weighting to SB as dingers. That’s wrong. <o:p></o:p></p>
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On Feb 12, 2019, at 9:14 AM, Frank Luby via Announce <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">Good points, Mark.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">This version re-sorts the right-hand data to make Mark's points clear.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">On Tuesday, February 12, 2019, 8:54:09 AM CST, springkerb <<a href="mailto:springkerb@aol.com">springkerb@aol.com</a>> wrote:
</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">To me, the 2x saves version does a better job of identifying pitchers who can reliably hold a lead--which I think is what we're trying
to measure here. For example, the version that values saves and holds equally says that Jose Alvarado is third in the league. He's a good reliever, but I don't think he was more reliablelast year than Trienen or Chapman. Similarly, the equally weighted
version says the Chaz Roe (Chaz Roe?) was the sixth most reliable holder of leads in the AL. That's nuts.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">In general, major league managers use their best relievers later in the games, and that makes sense, since holding a lead gets more
valuable later in the game. A clean ninth inning improves the team's likelihood of winning more when there are fewer innings left to play. So, at least to my eye, the 2x approach does a better job of rewarding better relievers. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Mark</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#575757">Sent via the Samsung Galaxy S®6 active, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">-------- Original message --------</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">From: JOHN FRUIT <<a href="mailto:jtfruit@msn.com">jtfruit@msn.com</a>>
</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Date: 2/12/19 5:19 AM (GMT-06:00)
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">To: USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>>, Frank Luby <<a href="mailto:zachfehsvater@yahoo.com">zachfehsvater@yahoo.com</a>>,
Andy Klein <<a href="mailto:anrklein@gmail.com">anrklein@gmail.com</a>> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Cc: springkerb <<a href="mailto:springkerb@aol.com">springkerb@aol.com</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#26282A">What's apparent is that the 2x saves method seems to put even more statistical emphasis on the saves category, kinda defeating the purpose.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#575757">Sent from my Verizon, Samsung Galaxy smartphone</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">-------- Original message --------</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">From: springkerb via Announce <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Date: 2/11/19 10:15 PM (GMT-06:00)
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">To: Frank Luby <<a href="mailto:zachfehsvater@yahoo.com">zachfehsvater@yahoo.com</a>>, Andy Klein <<a href="mailto:anrklein@gmail.com">anrklein@gmail.com</a>>,
USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>> </span>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Cc: springkerb <<a href="mailto:springkerb@aol.com">springkerb@aol.com</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Cool. It's an interesting comparison.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">-------- Original message --------</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">From: Frank Luby <<a href="mailto:zachfehsvater@yahoo.com">zachfehsvater@yahoo.com</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Date: 2/11/19 10:02 PM (GMT-06:00)
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">To: Andy Klein <<a href="mailto:anrklein@gmail.com">anrklein@gmail.com</a>>, USML Announcements <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Cc: springkerb <<a href="mailto:springkerb@aol.com">springkerb@aol.com</a>>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black">Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Saves + Holds Redux
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">To throw some data into this discussion, here are the top 50 relievers in the AL last season ranked by the SV+HLD method and the 2xSV+HLD,
in a side by side comparison ...</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">On Monday, February 11, 2019, 9:44:36 PM CST, springkerb via Announce <<a href="mailto:announce@usml.net">announce@usml.net</a>> wrote:
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">I'd like you to reconsider the ratio. There are about twice as many holds as saves. Weighting them equally would actually make the
7th and 8th inning guys more valuable than closers, which just doesn't seem right.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#26282A">Mark</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:1.0in"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#575757">Sent via the Samsung Galaxy S®6 active, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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