[USML Announce] Bad (but not unexpected) News for K-9, Good News for The King

Brad Jansen bljansen at gmail.com
Mon Mar 14 16:08:26 EDT 2011 

I get them for free--note they're only teasers for the paid subscription
service. So, if you want the real scoop as to why Winick knew to get
Rzepczynski for $3 you have to fork over big dough.....
--Brad

On Mon, Mar 14, 2011 at 4:04 PM, Andy Klein <anrklein at gmail.com> wrote:

> Damn!!  Reading this made me realize that for the first time in about seven
> years, I forgot to draft Tim Wakefield.
>
> When can we start making FAAB bids?!!!!
>
> -Andy
>
> PS to Brad:  With all those furlough days, how can you afford daily updates
> from Shandler?  And if the answer is that Winick has the authority to hand
> out comps, I think we all should get them.
>
>   On Mon, Mar 14, 2011 at 3:15 PM, Brad Jansen <bljansen at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
>> From: Baseball HQ <baseballhq at fantasysportsventures.com>
>> Date: Mon, Mar 14, 2011 at 2:01 PM
>> Subject: Baseball HQ Daily News and Analysis Preview
>> To: bljansen at gmail.com
>>
>>
>>  *BASEBALL HQ DAILY NEWS AND ANALYSIS EMAIL*
>>
>> March 14, 2011
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>> NOTE: Please do not reply to this email.
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>>
>>
>>
>>
>> *Why am I getting this email?*
>> Fantasy drafts are quickly approaching and prep time is getting short.  As
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>> * *
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>> Playing Time Today - Monday
>>
>> *Kris Olson - March 14, 2011*
>>
>> ------------------------------
>>
>> *Dice-K rolling snake eyes*
>>
>> ?Let's just admit it was an expensive mistake and move on.?
>>
>> So reads part of the 2011 *Baseball Forecaster* analysis of Red Sox
>> starter Daisuke Matsuzaka<http://t.ymlp53.net/usmazajshafahjhjaaaquj/click.php>(RHP,
>> BOS). Word this weekend was that the Red Sox were prepared to do just that
>> via a trade, though GM Theo Epstein was quick to deny the reports.
>>
>> Due to Matsuzaka?s salary and no-trade clause, a deal will be difficult;
>> however, it would be hard to assume the Japanese hurler?s role as Boston?s
>> fifth starter is etched in stone, given his spring results and reports that
>> his velocity is down.
>>
>> As for other options, local scribes have noted that 44-year-old
>> knuckleballer Tim Wakefield<http://t.ymlp53.net/usjarajshafahjhjaaaquj/click.php>(RHP,
>> BOS) is an ill fit for the bullpen, and the Sox also have Alfredo Aceves<http://t.ymlp53.net/usbaxajshatahjhjataquj/click.php> (RHP,
>> BOS), who made waves in 2009 with a 10-1 record in 84 innings for the
>> Yankees, and posted a 3.54 ERA and 1.01 WHIP that were largely supported by
>> strong skills (3.87 xERA, 100 BPV).
>>
>> How do their projected skills for 2011 match up?
>>
>> Player      xERA   Ctl   Dom   Cmd  BPV
>>
>> =========   ====   ===   ===   ===  ===
>>
>> Aceves      3.92   2.5   6.2   2.5   68
>>
>> Wakefield   4.91   3.2   5.2   1.6   24
>>
>> Matzusaka   4.37   4.3   8.1   1.9   43
>>
>> This spring, Wakefield has posted the best stats of the contenders (2.70
>> ERA in 6 2/3 IP, compared to Aceves? 3.68 in 7 1/3 IP and Matzusaka?s11.42 in 8 2/3 IP) and he has a reputation for hot streaks that should be
>> ridden for all they?re worth. However, his skills say he is a poor bet for
>> long-term success. Even if named to the rotation to start the year, owners
>> will want to steer clear of Wakefield, a recommendation that holds for
>> Matzusaka as well.
>>
>> By contrast, Aceves? skills say he might have a bit better chance to
>> succeed, though 2009?s small sample size and Aceves? ?F? health grade
>> urge a minimal investment at best. More likely, the fifth-starter role for
>> the Red Sox will be a season-long revolving door.
>>
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>>
>>
>> *Teahen* *pulls even with Morel*
>>
>> Before Spring Training began, many believed the White Sox 3B job was for Brett
>> Morel <http://t.ymlp53.net/uswarajshazahjhjanaquj/click.php> (3B, CHW) to
>> lose. Thus far this spring, he has done just that. Or, perhaps it?s better
>> to say veteran Mark Teahen<http://t.ymlp53.net/usqaoajshazahjhjalaquj/click.php> (3B,
>> CHW) has pulled even, hitting .474 to Morel?s .143 through Saturday.
>>
>> Proj 2011   BB%   CT%   Eye   xBA   PX   Spd  BPV
>>
>> =========   ===   ===  ====   ===   ==   ===  ===
>>
>> Morel        4%   85%  0.31   271   88   102   45
>>
>> Teahen       8%   74%  0.35   258   98   103   17
>>
>> Morel?s edge in ct% is significant, but the rest of his skills are not so
>> far ahead of Teahen?s, at least at this stage in the 23-year-old Morel?s
>> career. The White Sox would not be sacrificing too much by giving him more
>> seasoning at Triple-A.
>>
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